Sunday, February 24, 2013
CALIFORNIA IS FOR SALE...SORT OF
Let's put it this way, California hasn't looked
this good to buyers in 8 years.
All of us who live in the Golden State, and who own or have owned
property, have borne the brunt of a grueling recovery. Actually, it was a market in free fall,
that caused all kinds of pain, wrecked havoc not just in our fair state, but
the shot heard round the world.
But a lot has changed in the last 8 years. Part of the pain of a recession is that there seems no way
out but to just grind it out.
Time, stamina, and determination have been local themes to Californians
and in fact citizens of real estate everywhere. Now we find builders are back in a big way, inventories are
at historic lows (and by low, try less than half of the top of the 2006
market), money is cheap, and our state especially, is drawing buyers from all
over, particularly cash buyers. In
fact, according to DataQuick, one in three Orange County buyers in 2012 paid
cash. Not surprisingly, the number
of deals-- greater than 10,000, was the highest since California's last down
market of 1992, twenty years ago exactly.
Why this insistence on history repeating itself? Some would say it is because real
estate is cyclical. Others would
say it is because people never learn that what goes up must come down. Cycles do happen in real estate, and
the cause for each generation's ups and downs do differ. But germane to the process is a bubble,
expanding for that economy's purpose, driven by that unique component of that
expanding market. But purely
speaking, it is supply and demand driven.
The fuel to the fire this last time around was free loaded lending,
irresponsible at best, and many would argue borderline illegal at worst. Recovering from that has been painful
and difficult for not only sellers and buyers, but the professionals left
behind to deal with the cleanup of the heyday. It is safe to say that we have today, a much healthier
housing market, real lending standards, and the current pace of selling is
based on legitimate pent up demand, from both move up buyers, first time buyers,
and investors who still recognize the bottom of a market, although quickly
rising. They are coming in with
cash from all over the world, some to stay in the market, holding properties as
rentals, some still trying to "flip" properties to the many buyers
out there, and some buying luxury second homes. Read on and you'll learn some interesting information on
current numbers, sales, foreclosures, and tips on buying and selling, and why
the perfect time to do both is right now!
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